News for Prescott AZ - AmericanTowns.com

Tuesday, August 27, 2013

Market Trends Weekly - August 27, 2013

 

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Markets Looking for a Sign

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Last Week in Review: Housing news was front and center, and the news shows that the housing sector continues to recover--for the most part, as some of the gains in existing home sales were offset by losses in new home sales. The minutes from the Fed's July meeting were released, and unfortunately did not offer any clues as to how long The Fed's bond purchasing program will continue. We will continue to monitor for news on this topic, as the results are being watched closely, and will likely significantly impact the markets.

 

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August 27, 2013

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The last week of August brings some key reports, with news on inflation, Gross Domestic Product, Consumer Confidence, and more.

Existing Home Sales rose by 6.5 percent in July from June and are up 17.2 percent since this time last year. In addition, the Federal Housing Finance Agency reported that home prices rose 7.7 percent in the year ended in June. From May to June, prices rose by 0.7 percent. However, New Home Sales dropped 13.4 percent in July from June, below expectations, and June's numbers were also revised lower.

Also of note last week, the minutes from the Fed's July meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee were released--and they offered no clarity as to when the Fed will begin tapering its Bond purchases. Remember that the Fed has been buying $85 billion of Bonds a month to help stimulate the economy and housing market. This includes Mortgage Bonds, to which home loan rates are tied, and these purchases have helped home loan rates remain attractive.

The Fed has said the rate of its purchases will continue to depend on economic data, and could be increased or decreased accordingly. Jobs data is one area the Fed will be watching especially closely. And last week, there was a jump in weekly Initial Jobless Claims, which rose by 13,000 to 336,000. Though this was in line with estimates and the figure remains near post-recession lows, it is the highest level in a month. However, the 4-week average, which evens out seasonal abnormalities, fell to 330,500, near 6-year lows.

What does this mean for home loan rates? Economic data in the coming weeks will be a key factor in whether the Fed begins tapering its Bond purchases as early as its meeting in mid-September, or if it waits until later in the year or even 2014. This timing could pay a big role in the direction Bonds and home loan rates move in the months ahead.

The bottom line is that home loan rates remain attractive compared to historical levels and now remains a great time to consider a home purchase or refinance. Let me know if I can answer any questions at all for you or your clients.

Erica Mckitrick

Erica.Mckitrick@carringtonms.com

 

 

 

 

 

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Your Carrington Loan Officer

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Erica Mckitrick
NMLS #: 249520

Erica.Mckitrick@carringtonms.com 

Scottsdale, AZ (Retail 2) AZ

 

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Carrington Retail Turn Times

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Closing your loan quickly is important to Carrington with our 25 Day Loan Closing Pledge.

Current Loan Turn Times

 

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Economic Calendar for the Week of August 26 - August 30
 

Date

ET

Economic Report

For

Estimate

Prior

Impact

Mon. August 26

08:30

Durable Goods Orders

Jul

NA

3.9%

Moderate

Tue. August 27

09:00

S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index

Jun

NA

12.2%

Moderate

Tue. August 27

10:00

Consumer Confidence

Aug

NA

80.3

Moderate

Wed. August 28

10:00

Pending Home Sales

Jul

NA

-0.4%

Moderate

Thu. August 29

08:30

GDP Chain Deflator

Q2

NA

0.7%

Moderate

Thu. August 29

08:30

Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

Q2

NA

1.7%

Moderate

Thu. August 29

08:30

Jobless Claims (Initial)

8/24

NA

NA

Moderate

Fri. August 30

08:30

Personal Income

Jul

NA

0.3%

Moderate

Fri. August 30

08:30

Personal Spending

Jul

NA

0.5%

Moderate

Fri. August 30

08:30

Personal Consumption Expenditures and Core PCE

Jul

NA

0.2%

HIGH

Fri. August 30

08:30

Personal Consumption Expenditures and Core PCE

YOY

NA

1.2%

HIGH

Fri. August 30

08:30

Consumer Sentiment Index (UoM)

Aug

NA

80.0

Moderate

Fri. August 30

09:45

Chicago PMI

Aug

NA

52.3

HIGH

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
© Copyright 2007-2013 Carrington Mortgage Services, LLC headquartered at 1610 E. Saint Andrew Place, Suite B-150, Santa Ana, CA 92705. Toll Free (800) 561-4567. NMLS ID #2600. Nationwide Mortgage Licensing System (NMLS) Consumer Access Web Site: www.nmlsconsumeraccess.org. AZ: Mortgage Banker BK-0910745; 2159 McCulloch Blvd #4, Lake Havasu City, AZ 86403. CA: Licensed by the Department of Business Oversight under the California Residential Mortgage Lending Act, File No. 413 0904. CO: To check the license status of your mortgage loan originator, visit http://www.dora.state.co.us/real-estate/index.htm. GA: Georgia Residential Mortgage Licensee #22721. IL: Illinois Residential Mortgage Licensee. MN: This is not an offer to enter into an interest rate lock agreement under Minnesota Law. NH: Licensed by the New Hampshire Banking Department. NJ: Licensed by the N.J. Department of Banking and Insurance. NY: Licensed Mortgage Banker—NYS Department of Financial Services. New York Mortgage Banker License #B500980/107664. OR: Mortgage Lender License #ML-4886. PA: Licensed by the Department of Banking. VA: Licensed by the Virginia State Corporation Commission #MC-5382. RI: Rhode Island Licensed Lender, Lender License #20112809LL. WA: Consumer Loan License #CL-2600. Also licensed in CT, DC, FL, ID, IN, MD, ME, MI, NC, NM, OK, TN, TX, WI and WV. NOTICE: All loans are subject to credit, underwriting, and property approval guidelines. Offered loan products may vary by state. There is no guarantee that all borrowers will qualify. Restrictions may apply. This is not a commitment to lend. Terms, conditions, and programs are subject to change without notice. This information is for mortgage professionals only and is not intended for distribution to consumers. Carrington Mortgage Services is not acting on behalf of or at the direction of HUD/FHA or any office of the federal government. All rights reserved.

 

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